UPDATE MAY 22, 2012

REMAINDER MAY 2012 T--A. P--A. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY--A. NUMBER OF 90+ DEGREE DAYS CENTRAL PARK--3. REMAINDER OF SUMMER MONTHS WILL BE UPDATED IN A FEW DAYS.

**LIMITED UPDATES UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE**

MUCH LIKE LAST YEAR, I WILL NOT ALWAYS BE ABLE TO POST UPDATES ON THE BLOG REGULARLY DUE TO SERIOUS ILLNESS IN MY FAMILY. I REGRET ANY INCONVENIENCE THAT THIS MAY CAUSE AND WHENEVER POSSIBLE, I WILL TRY TO GET UPDATES POSTED.

NYC METRO REGION 3/19/12@11PM--See ya next season!

**SIGNIFICANT WINTRY PRECIPITATION DATES**

Dates to watch for the threat of significant wintry precipitation (more than 2" snow or a combination of snow and ice of more than 2") are notated as follows:

No asterisk--Remote.

*=Minimal or 30% or less probability of significant wintry precipitation.

**=31%-50% probablity of significant wintry precipitation.

***=51%-70% probability.

****=71%-89% probability.

*****=90% or better.

The number of asterisks applies to all the dates in that particular precipitation event unless otherwise specified or the dates are separated by commas.

Currently *future* dates to watch for the threat of significant wintry precipitation are:

None.

SPRING-SUMMER OUTLOOK 2012 UPDATED 5/17/12

Winter outlooks have become a part of the business of meteorology more than they should be as many are issued too early before the precise status of the various oscillations are known for sure. Even when their status does become more clear, the scientific evidence backing one or another specific type of weather pattern during a weak vs moderate vs strong el nino, PDO, QBO, NAO, etc is still not entirely conclusive. Therefore, all winter outlooks including this one should be taken with a grain of salt and not used for making daily, monthly plans, or seasonal plans and budgets.

**THIS OUTLOOK WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY**

MAY 2012
T--N/A.
P--N.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY--N.
NUMBER OF 90 DEGREE DAYS CENTRAL PARK--3.

JUNE 2012
T--A.
P--N.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY--N.
NUMBER OF 90 DEGREE DAYS CENTRAL PARK--4.
NAMED TROPICAL SYSTEMS IN ATLANTIC BASIN--1.

JULY 2012
T--N/A.
P--N.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY--N.
NUMBER OF 90 DEGREE DAYS CENTRAL PARK--7.
NAMED TROPICAL SYSTEMS IN ATLANTIC BASIN--1.

AUGUST 2012
T--N.
P--N.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY--B.
NUMBER OF 90 DEGREE DAYS CENTRAL PARK--4.
NAMED TROPICAL SYSTEMS ATLANTIC BASIN--2.

SEPTEMBER 2012
T--N.
P--N/B.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY--B.
NUMBER OF 90 DEGREE DAYS CENTRAL PARK--2.
NAMED TROPICAL SYSTEMS ATLANTIC BASIN--2.

Please e-mail any comments or questions regarding this winter outlooks should be directed to Wxoutlooks@aol.com. Copyright Wxoutlooks@aol.com May 17, 2012.